Tunis/Los Angeles (DNA) - Once hailed as the success story of the Arab Spring, Tunisia now faces a grim reality. According to a new study, Tunisia’s democracy, born from the 2011 Jasmine Revolution, is on the verge of collapse. President Kaïs Saïed, who rose to power in 2019, has increasingly consolidated control, raising concerns that the upcoming October elections will solidify his authoritarian rule.

According to researchers behind a new Berggruen Governance Index (BGI) report (https://ucla.app.box.com/s/4d06cj45pb8ajh3a699f8psfcvdpd3zt), the promise of political reform, which once inspired hope, has failed to deliver economic progress, leaving many Tunisians disillusioned.

The Jasmine Revolution had brought a wave of optimism. Tunisia ousted long-time authoritarian president Zine El Abidine Ben Ali and embarked on sweeping political reforms. By 2021, Tunisia had significantly improved in democratic accountability, as shown by the Berggruen Governance Index. However, these gains were not matched by economic growth. Tunisia’s GDP stagnated, and public goods provision - such as healthcare and infrastructure - remained weak.

President Saïed capitalized on growing public frustration. In 2021, he suspended the parliament in a move critics called an "auto-coup," and a 2022 constitutional referendum further expanded his powers. Saïed’s crackdown on opposition groups and civil society has drawn widespread criticism, and human rights organizations have documented increasing repression.

Economically, Tunisia’s rejection of a 2023 International Monetary Fund loan, seen by many as a populist move, left the country in deeper financial trouble. Foreign investment, which peaked under Ben Ali’s authoritarian rule, has dwindled, compounding the economic crisis. Rising unemployment, inflation, and food insecurity have further eroded confidence in the government. Emigration has grown steadily.

As Tunisia prepares for the 2024 elections, many fear that Saïed’s authoritarian tendencies will undermine the democratic institutions that were painstakingly built after the revolution. According to the report, which was conducted by researchers from the Luskin School of Public Affairs at the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA), the Los Angeles-based Berggruen Institute and the Hertie School, a university in Berlin, Germany, the country’s experience highlights a critical lesson: Political reform must be accompanied by economic progress, or democracy itself may crumble.

----------------------------------------------

This text and the accompanying material (photos and graphics) is an offer from the Democracy News Alliance, a close co-operation between Agence France-Presse (AFP, France), Agenzia Nazionale Stampa Associata (ANSA, Italy), The Canadian Press (CP, Canada), Deutsche Presse-Agentur (dpa, Germany) and PA Media (PA, UK). All recipients can use this material without the need for a separate subscription agreement with one or more of the participating agencies. This includes the recipient's right to publish the material in own products.

The DNA content is an independent journalistic service that operates separately from the other services of the participating agencies. It is produced by editorial units that are not involved in the production of the agencies' main news services. Nevertheless, the editorial standards of the agencies and their assurance of completely independent, impartial and unbiased reporting also apply here.

Logo

Images

Tags

More Like This

Tunisia's struggling economy puts democracy at risk, study finds

Tunisian governance 'backsliding' as Arab Spring gains prove fleeting

US governance decline: 'Democracies rarely implode quickly'

Researchers find 'democracy challenged' in global governance rankings

Researcher: World facing era 'where democracy is on the defensive'

Election integrity at stake: Report highlights governance issues in the US

French elections expose social discord bubbling beneath the surface, says report

Sahel elites must move away from 'zero-sum' policies, report urges